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Wednesday, 13 January 2010

Odds (I just thought you might be interested....)

Hi,

I sat down and worked out the odds involved with this reading:

In my three card spread there is a 1/78 that a card will be the first out of the deck, however each card has two power it can lie in...full or reversed. Therefore the odds decrease to 1/156 for the card to be pulled and in the correct power.

The second card is worked on a 1/77 probability of being drawn as one card has already been removed from the deck above. Again two powers exist in which it could be drawn and so the odds decrease to 1/154

The last card is drawn with the odds 1/152 (76 cards left each with 2 powers). The overall odds of getting a specific spread therefore is 1/3,651,648 (1/152 x 1/154 x 1/156)

That means there are 3,651,648 different spreads I can do just using 3 cards. However my spreads are not particular in where each card lands in respect to the others (position 1, 2 or 3) and so the number of unique spreads I can deal is 1/3 of this number = 1,217,216. Don't worry though, at my current posting rate (a spread a day) that's still just over 3,334 YEARS of posting!

And this is just a three card reading! The Celtic Cross spread uses 10 cards and racks up a massive 4,675,765,217,094,110,000,000 readings...and because the card position (1 to 10) is important with this spread we don't even third this figure!

Now can you see why Tarot is such a powerful tool? If I lived to be 100 and I read Tarot from 8 onwards (92 years of reading) I would need to read 1,611,603,721,728 A SECOND in order to see them all, assuming I get no repeats!

If you read tarot and are interest in the odds of your favourite spread I suggest you work them out...It's fascinating to see how many different combinations you could have drawn...and then when it makes sense...well gets me thinking something must be there!

Blessed be!

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